TSLA
TrimAutos / EnergyRisk: LowTesla Inc.
Report regenerates daily from the published scoring model. No position is disclosed because we hold none.
24h
-0.53%
7d
-2.22%
30d
+0.49%
90d
-3.49%
1y
-5.17%
What the tape is saying
TSLA is trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average, which puts the tape in a deteriorating trend. The 200-day sits at $369.49 and remains the line that defines the structural trend for this name.
Realised volatility is running near 14% annualised with a 14-day RSI of 37. Price is 10% of the way up its 52-week range ($349.7 to $411.06), so the position-sizing question matters more than the direction question right now.
Our trend model grades this trim with 56% conviction. Until price reclaims the 50-day and holds it for several sessions, rallies are counter-trend and should be treated as exits rather than entries.
Bull case
- Energy storage deployments are growing faster than autos and carry better margins.
- Autonomy progress would reprice the entire equity if commercialised.
- Cost per vehicle continues to fall on vertical integration.
Bear case
- Auto gross margin ex-credits is under pressure from price cuts.
- Competitive intensity in China is structurally higher than in 2021.
- Autonomy timelines have slipped repeatedly, so optionality is priced, not proven.
What would change the call
Model re-entry
$367.75
A close above this level would put the trend back on the long side.
Context
Priced as an autonomy and robotics option with a car business attached. The trend is real; the valuation requires belief.
This report is market analysis and education, not investment advice. It contains no recommendation to transact. Figures are generated from a deterministic sample dataset for this demonstration build and are not live prices. See the methodology for how scores are calculated.