COST
AccumulateConsumer StaplesRisk: LowCostco Wholesale
Report regenerates daily from the published scoring model. No position is disclosed because we hold none.
24h
+0.21%
7d
+0.17%
30d
+11.88%
90d
+23.99%
1y
+102.37%
What the tape is saying
COST is trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average, which puts the tape in an improving uptrend. The 200-day sits at $586.15 and remains the line that defines the structural trend for this name.
Realised volatility is running near 17% annualised with a 14-day RSI of 76. Price is 99% of the way up its 52-week range ($369.52 to $758.58), so the position-sizing question matters more than the direction question right now.
Our trend model grades this accumulate with 85% conviction. The risk to the call is not a single bad session but a break of the 50-day followed by a lower high, which would flip momentum regardless of the story.
Bull case
- Renewal rates are near all-time highs, giving revenue visibility.
- Traffic is resilient through consumer slowdowns.
- E-commerce and pharmacy are additive without capex strain.
Bear case
- Valuation embeds near-perfect execution.
- Membership fee increases are infrequent and already priced.
- Wage inflation pressures the operating margin buffer.
What would change the call
Model invalidation
$684.56
A close below this level ends the constructive read.
Context
Membership-fee economics make this a defensive compounder, though the multiple has become the main risk.
This report is market analysis and education, not investment advice. It contains no recommendation to transact. Figures are generated from a deterministic sample dataset for this demonstration build and are not live prices. See the methodology for how scores are calculated.